@tomiahonen I’m just unwilling to give her that much credit.

@AlliFlowers is good, no problem. I'm telling you that I have monitored her very closely as I do want early views to the next race(s). Also I keep an eye on their frontrunner for the post-Trump era, and Ted Cruz has not placed one foot wrong. His strategy is pretty darned strong...

@tomiahonen Bite your tongue! How horrible would that be!

@AlliFlowers LOL Ted Cruz is the most hated politician in America. He will take the GOP nomination in a nasty fight, and he will lose the general election worse than Trump. And Trump won't get to 40% in November 2024. This is all good, do not worry. But yes, I do not lie. Cruz is the clear front-runner for the first race when Trump is running so that will be 2028 (might have been 2024)

@AlliFlowers BTW I had never thought of this yet, until this very moment with you Dr F, the next race 2028 will feature the two second-place finishers to Trump facing off, ie Ted Cruz and Nikki Haley. Ted will beat her but it will be close..

@tomiahonen A lot can happen in 4 years. Thinks happen awful fast these days.

@AlliFlowers LOL yeah really fast indeed :-)

@tomiahonen I didn’t mean that to sound as Ferris Beuhler as it did.

@AlliFlowers well, everybody needs a day off :-)

@AlliFlowers I am the best forecaster in this business. When other pundits said Trump won't run, I said of course he will. When others said Death Santis was the big challenger I said he won't be. He is out. I even said Nikki will beat DeSantis and she already has. So you should take my analysis of 2028 more seriously the next time. Cruz is the clear front-runner and Nikki knows this, that is why she is playing this empty field now to her best advantage. She will give Ted a strong run next time

@tomiahonen So, just slightly off topic…do you see Trump doing any jail time?

@AlliFlowers jail time I am not sure but hoping we see that too. Prison, absolutely definitely Trump is convicted in each of these 4 criminal trials of this year, gets convicted in at least 2 likely 3 still this year (1 maybe 1 of 4 extend to next year by verdict). Each of 4 get sentencing to prison. MY count of Trump prison time is no longer relevant as Trump's OWN lawyers told Trump he gets 561 years out of the 712.5 years he is facing. So prison most def, jail am not sure but hope also

@tomiahonen Sharing this with @sheilasmall so her blood pressure can come down.

@tomiahonen @AlliFlowers If Cruz isn't indicted for his part in the insurrection, planning and execution, maybe. I suspect that when TFG goes down (hard) he will take everyone with him that he can. Cruz is right there,

@Catawu Oh that would be nice! @tomiahonen

@Catawu @AlliFlowers The Evil Eleven get sentenced to life in prison and Sen Ron Johnson is likely to join them for a long while. But Cancun Cruz has no visibility of any actual criming related to Jan 6th, sorry. What he said on Senate floor is beyond any criminality and other than that, he has maintained a magnificent illusion of being right with the insurrectionists, without actually ever doing anything that crosses the line. He is a sneaky bastard. Sorry, I see no prison for Rafael

@tomiahonen @AlliFlowers MAYBE I dreamt it, but thought I read that he had ties to Navarro and texts between them? Then again, maaybe not. You are far more indepth than I on these things. (It was such a sweeeeeet dream!)

@Catawu @AlliFlowers Not sure who you mean but probably Cancun Cruz? As ties to Peter BIzarro. Yes, I've seen some Ted Cruz comments around Jan 6, they all were 'very supportive' yet somehow never crossed into the 'lets crime together' part. Cruz knew this plot was mad and gets every plotter in prison so he kept his fingers clean. He PRETENDS he was in it, because maga will need a lot of convicing Ted Cruz???? is their guy, but no. I have seen zero visibility of Cruz's criminality. Alas.

@tomiahonen @AlliFlowers I coulda sworn that on more than one occasion Navarro named him as one of the architects. That they were communicating on one of those Signal(?) apps. Then again, I might have low sugar so I’ll go fix dinner. Like I said, I will defer to your insights on this. You haven’t been wrong yet. (You scare me and I love you)

@Catawu @AlliFlowers if you knew how much I hate Ted Cruz (everybody hates Ted Cruz) you'd know, the MOMENT I can thie Rafael to Jan 6, I will scream it from the rooftops. Cancun Cruz is so evil and yet smart, he would dismantle American democracy and make himself Dictator for life FASTER than Death Santis or Abbott could (and Trump even if given a second term, would probably FAIL because he does fail at everything)

@tomiahonen @AlliFlowers It’s palpable. You are not alone. Not even by degree

@Catawu @AlliFlowers Cat, think of it this way. We WANT Cruz in 2028. Nobody in America, not even Death Santis or Hershel I-Have-A-Badge Walker can lose in 2028 worse than Trump now who finishes with less than 40% of the vote in November - except Cancun Cruz. EVERYBODY hates Cancun Cruz. His own wife hates him, his own kids hate him, his DOG hates him. His mom hates him. His dad ran away from home, to go kill JFK, just to get away from Ted Cruz. Everybody hates Cruz. Even Ted Cruz hates Ted Cruz

@tomiahonen @AlliFlowers I agree. But I can’t shake the notion that there’s a piece of paper with his name on it… I’ll feel better after dinner.

@tomiahonen @AlliFlowers nothing is as certain as the assumptions of this toot

@Seruko @AlliFlowers were you referring to me? I am the best forecaster in politics, I trust you knew that. I called it that Trump will run. I called it that Death Santis will not be a player. I even called it that Nikki will finish ahead of DeSantis. I called the flip of Bill Barr, Pence, Ivanka. What did YOU forecast correctly? I also called both impeachments, the 2022 midterms, the 2021 special election, the 2020 Presidential election AND both House and Senate, I called the 2018 midterms..

@tomiahonen @AlliFlowers
I can't tell if this is satire or a trumpian level of over confidence. Poe's law is like an event horizon

@Seruko @AlliFlowers So you do not want the analysis of the best forecaster AND the best numbers guy on this platform - indeed on any social media. You really want to be blocked. Fair enough, I will make sure you never see in advance what the news will eventually, weeks or months later report

BLOCKED